Special Alert - Possible storm forming - 25 August 2023

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The National Weather Service is tracking a disturbance in the western Caribbean. In its 8:00 p.m. Friday report (ignore map below; click here for the latest report) they said (emphasis added):

1. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Eastern Gulf of Mexico (AL93):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased since yesterday in 
association with an area of low pressure over the northwestern 
Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further 
development of this system during the next several days, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early 
next week while it moves generally northward over the eastern Gulf 
of Mexico. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, western 
Cuba, and Florida should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

This map is from 8:00 p.m. EDT Friday evening,
and is not current. Click the map to see the most current version.